Plastics Will Outpace Coal in U.S. Carbon Emissions, Study Shows

By Elizabeth Claire Alberts | October 28, 2021 | How Stuff Works

Plastics will outpace coal plants in the U.S. by 2030 in terms of their contributions to climate change, according to a report released Oct. 21 by Beyond Plastics, a project at Bennington College in Vermont. Yet policymakers and businesses are not currently accounting for the plastics industry’s full impact on climate change, allowing the industry to essentially fly "under the radar, with little public scrutiny and even less government accountability," the report says.

Judith Enck, president of Beyond Plastics and a former regional administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), says the report was intentionally released in the lead-up to the COP26 summit in Glasgow, Scotland, when world leaders will gather to discuss strategies for tackling climate change. "There's a little discussion on waste, but not much," Enck said in a video interview. "But plastics' contribution to climate change is not on the agenda."

The report, "New Coal: Plastics and Climate Change," draws on public and private data sources to analyze 10 stages of plastic production in the U.S., including gas acquisition, transportation, manufacturing and disposal. It found that the U.S. plastics industry alone is presently responsible for at least 255 million tons (232 million metric tons) of greenhouse gases every year, the equivalent of about 116.5 gigawatts in coal plants. But this number is expected to rise as dozens of plastics facilities are currently under construction across the country, mainly in Texas and Louisiana, according to the report.

"What's quietly been happening under the radar is the petrochemical industry — the fossil fuel industry — has been ramping up investment in the production of plastics," Enck said. "Unless you live in the communities where this is taking place, people just don't know this."

Fracking for Plastic

While there has been widespread media coverage on plastic waste and microplastics, less attention has been paid to the environmental impacts of plastic production. To create plastic food packaging and drink bottles that have become ubiquitous with daily life, gases need to be fracked from the ground, transported and processed industrially. Each step contributes millions of tons of greenhouse gas emissions — particularly methane — which is considered to be  25 times as potent as carbon dioxide at trapping heat in the atmosphere.

Shale fracking has been the method of choice for acquiring gases such as ethane and methane required for plastic production. But fracking can release harmful amounts of methane into the atmosphere, as well as contaminate the surface and groundwater and even trigger earthquakes, the report says.

It's estimated that fracking in the U.S. releases about 36 million tons (32 million metric tons) of (CO2e) per year, or the same volume as 18 average-sized (500-megawatt) coal-fired power plants in 2020, according to the report. These numbers are expected to rise as the demand for plastic grows and fracking operations expand.

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